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TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of March 2 and a Sell Date of June 11 has resulted in a geometric average return of 12.81% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 10 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 13.17% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of TAL, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Founded in 2003, TAL Education is one of the leading K-12 after-school tutoring providers in China. The firm offers tutoring services to students from pre-school to the twelfth grade via small classes, one-on-one personalized premium services, and online courses. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2020, TAL’s small classes account for 68% of its revenue, one-on-one 8%, and Xueersi.com 24%. Its tutoring services cover the core academic subjects in China’s school curriculum, such as Math (K-12), English (K-12), Chinese (K-12), Physics (Grade 8-12), Chemistry (Grade 9-12), and Biology (Grade 10-12). TAL’s learning centers currently cover 70-plus cities in China and a total of 871 learning centers. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2020, current normal priced long-term course student enrolment was 4.65 million.

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