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Seasonal Start
Economic Data
TD Asset Management Inc – TD U.S. Long Term Treasury Bond ETF (TSE:TULB.TO) Seasonal Chart
Seasonal Chart Analysis
Analysis of the TD Asset Management Inc – TD U.S. Long Term Treasury Bond ETF (TSE:TULB.TO) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of June 7 and a Sell Date of September 21 has resulted in a geometric average return of 2.29% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 5 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 4 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 5 years by an average of 17.2% per year.
A word of caution: Only 5 years of data is available for shares of TULB.TO, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.
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Stocks mentioned in this post: TULB.TO
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