Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

TM Relative to the S&P 500

TM Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE:TM) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of October 21 and a Sell Date of January 19 has resulted in a geometric average return of 4.25% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 15 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 7.82% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

Founded in 1937, Toyota is one of the world’s largest automakers, with 11.1 million units sold at retail in fiscal 2024, including 10.3 million across the Toyota and Lexus brands. Brands include Toyota, Lexus, Daihatsu, and truck maker Hino; market share in Japan is about 52% excluding mini-vehicles, while US share is around 15%. The firm also owns stakes in Denso, a parts supplier, about 20% of Subaru, and holds investments in many other firms, including shares of Uber Technologies, Joby Aviation, Aurora Innovation, Isuzu Motors, and about 5% in each of Mazda and Suzuki. Fiscal 2024 sales excluding financial services were JPY 41.6 trillion. Toyota also has a financing arm and manufactures homes and boats.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: TM