Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

TWLO Relative to the S&P 500

TWLO Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of May 11 and a Sell Date of August 4 has resulted in a geometric average return of 11.76% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 7.72% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Technology sector, which runs from October 9 to February 15. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Technology Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of TWLO, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Twilio is a cloud-based communications platform-as-a-service company offering communication building blocks that allow for a fully customized customer engagement experience spanning voice, video, chat, and SMS messaging. It does this through various application programming interfaces and prebuilt solution applications aimed at improving customer engagement. The company leverages its Super Network, a global network of carrier relationships, to facilitate high-speed, cost-effective communication.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: TWLO