Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

ULTA Relative to the S&P 500

ULTA Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASD:ULTA) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of March 16 and a Sell Date of June 14 has resulted in a geometric average return of 12.39% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 15 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 14 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 15 years by an average of 3.31% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

With roughly 1,350 stores and a partnership with narrow-moat Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (43% of 2021 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (20% of 2021 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: ULTA