Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

VST Relative to the S&P 500

VST Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Vistra Energy Corp. (NYSE:VST) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of July 27 and a Sell Date of October 15 has resulted in a geometric average return of 13.47% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 1.51% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Strongly with the period of seasonal strength for the Utilities sector, which runs from July 23 to October 3. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Utilities Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of VST, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Vistra Corp. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of electricity and power generation. It operates through the following segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. The Retail segment sells electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The Texas and East segments are involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy sales and purchases, commodity risk management activities, fuel production and fuel logistics management. The West segment represents the company’s electricity generation operations in CAISO. The Sunset segment includes generation plants with announced retirement plans. The Asset Closure segment refers to the decommissioning and reclamation of retired plants and mines. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: VST