Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

VST Relative to the S&P 500

VST Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Vistra Energy Corp. (NYSE:VST) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of August 5 and a Sell Date of November 11 has resulted in a geometric average return of 14.5% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 2.51% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Fairly Well with the period of seasonal strength for the Utilities sector, which runs from July 23 to October 3. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Utilities Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of VST, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Vistra Energy is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the us Following the 2024 Energy Harbor acquisition, Vistra owns 41 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, natural gas, and solar power generation along with one of the largest utility-scale battery projects in the world. Its retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016. It acquired Dynegy in 2018.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: VST