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Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Yum China Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:YUMC) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of February 4 and a Sell Date of May 21 has resulted in a geometric average return of 4.83% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 9.31% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of YUMC, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

With almost 15,000 units and USD 12 billion in systemwide sales in 2023, Yum China is the largest restaurant operator in China. It generates revenue through its own restaurants and franchise fees. Key concepts include KFC (10,296 units) and Pizza Hut (3,312), but the company’s portfolio also includes other brands such as Little Sheep, Taco Bell, Huang Ji Huang, and Lavazza (collectively representing more than 1,000 units). Yum China is a trademark licensee of Yum Brands, paying 3% of total systemwide sales to the company it separated from in October 2016.

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