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Equity Clock

 

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for August 14, 2024

Managed money is ramping up their short allocation in intermediate treasury bond futures back toward an all-time record.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Kennametal, Inc. (NYSE:KMT) Seasonal Chart

Kennametal, Inc. (NYSE:KMT) Seasonal Chart

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:TCBI) Seasonal Chart

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:TCBI) Seasonal Chart

Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) Seasonal Chart

Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH) Seasonal Chart

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (AMEX:ESP) Seasonal Chart

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (AMEX:ESP) Seasonal Chart

Hancock Whitney Corp. (NASD:HWC) Seasonal Chart

Hancock Whitney Corp. (NASD:HWC) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks rallied on Tuesday following the release of a softer than expected read of producer prices, thereby raising hopes that the Fed will finally have the cue to cut rates through the remaining months of this year.  The S&P 500 Index closed higher by 1.68%, reaching back to short-term resistance at the 20-day moving average (5416).  The benchmark has made significant progress to return to levels around the 50-day moving average (5451), reaction to which will be scrutinized closely given the indications it provides pertaining to the path of the intermediate-term (multi-month) trend.  The downside gap that was charted on August 2nd between 5384 and 5413 has been closed/filled and a band of supply between 5400 and 5490 is now the test on the upside.  Overall, the short-term trajectory remains negative, characterized by the trend of lower-highs and lower-lows off of the summer rally peak on July 16th and the resilience of the intermediate-term trend is being tested as levels of significant resistance are put to the test.  The technicals are not yet portraying a sustained intermediate negative path, but the seasonals and fundamentals hint that this is an elevated risk through the months ahead.  Caution in risk assets remains prudent.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Cisco Systems, Inc. Seasonal Chart UBS AG Seasonal Chart Cardinal Health, Inc. Seasonal Chart Performance Food Group Company Seasonal Chart Elbit Systems Ltd. Seasonal Chart BRF S.A. Seasonal Chart CAE Inc Seasonal Chart ICL Group Ltd. Seasonal Chart StoneCo Ltd. Seasonal Chart Brinker International, Inc. Seasonal Chart Lumentum Holdings Inc. Seasonal Chart Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Seasonal Chart SFL Corporation Ltd Seasonal Chart Navigator Holdings Ltd. Seasonal Chart Evotec SE Seasonal Chart Magic Software Enterprises Ltd. Seasonal Chart Celcuity Inc. Seasonal Chart Geopark Ltd Seasonal Chart Precigen, Inc. Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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