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Equity Clock

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for December 6, 2022

The downfall of bank stocks is emphasizing the lack of risk-taking in this market as investors front-run the potential resumption of the bear-market slide.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Invesco Fundamental High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:PHB) Seasonal Chart

Invesco Fundamental High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSE:PHB) Seasonal Chart

VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF (NYSE:NLR) Seasonal Chart

VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy ETF (NYSE:NLR) Seasonal Chart

SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (NYSE:JNK) Seasonal Chart

SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (NYSE:JNK) Seasonal Chart

Holly Energy Partners LP (NYSE:HEP) Seasonal Chart

Holly Energy Partners LP (NYSE:HEP) Seasonal Chart

Uni-Select, Inc. (TSE:UNS.TO) Seasonal Chart

Uni-Select, Inc. (TSE:UNS.TO) Seasonal Chart

Extendicare Inc. (TSE:EXE.TO) Seasonal Chart

Extendicare Inc. (TSE:EXE.TO) Seasonal Chart

IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. (NASD:IDXX) Seasonal Chart

IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. (NASD:IDXX) Seasonal Chart

AltaGas Income Ltd. (TSE:ALA.TO) Seasonal Chart

AltaGas Income Ltd. (TSE:ALA.TO) Seasonal Chart

Hershey Foods Corp. (NYSE:HSY) Seasonal Chart

Hershey Foods Corp. (NYSE:HSY) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Completion Index ETF (TSE:XMD.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Completion Index ETF (TSE:XMD.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index ETF (TSE:CDZ.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index ETF (TSE:CDZ.TO) Seasonal Chart

Baxter Intl Inc. (NYSE:BAX) Seasonal Chart

Baxter Intl Inc. (NYSE:BAX) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks faltered on Monday as the normal tax-loss selling/portfolio rebalancing period through the first half of December gets underway.  The S&P 500 Index closed down by 1.79%, pulling back from declining trendline resistance that has capped each rally attempt all year.  The benchmark remains supported by a confluence of major moving averages just above 3900 and the short-term rising trend stemming from the mid-October low remains intact.  The trend of momentum indicators is higher, but early signs of rollover is apparent as MACD converges on its signal line in what appears poised to amount to an imminent sell signal with respect to the technical indicator.  Declining trendline resistance combined with pending technical sell signals certainly elevates the near-term risk of stocks as we navigate through this seasonally weaker half of December.

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Sectors and Industries entering their period of seasonal strength:

Exploration & Production Industry Seasonality

$DJUSOS Relative to the S&P 500

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

AutoZone, Inc. Seasonal Chart MongoDB, Inc. Seasonal Chart Caseys General Stores, Inc. Seasonal Chart HealthEquity, Inc. Seasonal Chart Toll Brothers, Inc. Seasonal Chart Guidewire Software, Inc. Seasonal Chart SentinelOne, Inc. Seasonal Chart Signet Jewelers Limited Seasonal Chart AeroVironment, Inc. Seasonal Chart Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. Seasonal Chart Avid Bioservices, Inc. Seasonal Chart Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Seasonal Chart Stitch Fix, Inc. Seasonal Chart Conn's, Inc. Seasonal Chart Oil-Dri Corporation Of America Seasonal Chart Barnes & Noble Education, Inc Seasonal Chart CSP Inc. Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

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TSE Composite

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