Chinese equities are perking up and this bodes well for the trade in Emerging Markets.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
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The Markets
Stocks closed higher to start the week as traders prepare for the release of earnings reports slated to be released in the days ahead and brace for the FOMC meeting announcement on Wednesday. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of around a third of one percent, continuing to move higher from support at the 100-day moving average and pressuring resistance at the 20-day moving moving average at 5109. MACD is on the verge of producing a bullish cross of its signal line following the downfall that resulted from April’s market pullback, but risks remain that this momentum indicator (and others) are no longer on the bullish path that they once were coming into the normally upbeat month of April. Should this rebound in the large-cap benchmark merely prove to be a dead-cat bounce, the 5140 zone is a likely candidate where the stall to the near-term trend will be realized. Scrutinize the price action accordingly. The best six month timeframe for stocks concludes this week and it is set to close this seasonally strong period with one of the strongest performances in decades. As for how stocks perform through the following six months, we could get further insight on that very shortly if the rebound from last week’s low does in fact stall, thereby hinting of the shift of the rising trajectory of stocks and lending itself to a more conservative stance in equity market positioning.

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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite

