The Visa Discretionary Spending Momentum Index has fallen to the lowest level for April since the height of the pandemic in 2020.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
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The Markets
Stocks clawed their way higher on Thursday as interest rates pulled back amidst strong demand from a bond auction and as jobless claims data showed a concerning jump for the week just past. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of just over half of one percent, further advancing above 20 and 50-day moving averages that were retaken as levels of support in the past few days. The 100-day moving average (5005) continues to support the intermediate-term rising trend of stocks, warranting a bullish bias according to our seasonal (multi-month) approach, so long as levels of support hold a greater weight than levels of resistance. The key hurdle to watch ahead is the all-time high around 5260, which is less that 50-points overhead. The benchmark has managed to surpass all points that could have exhausted the rebound from the April low and the prospects are good that we’ll see the previous peak tested and/or exceeded, keeping the intermediate-term path on a trajectory of higher-highs and higher-lows. Seasonal tendencies call for weakness in stocks through the middle of May, but the trend is not providing much reason to abide by the notorious “Sell In May and Go Away” strategy, yet.

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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite

