Stronger than average reads of employment are pressuring yields and the dollar higher, resulting in a head-and-shoulders topping pattern on the chart of the S&P 500 Index.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
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The Markets
Stocks traded firmly lower on Friday as a stronger than expected read of employment stoked inflationary concerns for the economy, thereby diminishing the prospect of a pullback in the cost of borrowing ahead. The S&P 500 Index dropped by 1.54% on Friday, showing ongoing reaction to resistance at the 20-day moving average (5961). The benchmark is now firmly below the 50-day moving average (5952), disconnecting from the neutral position in the context of the intermediate-term trend. A break of horizontal support at 5850 has been recorded, violating the neckline to a head-and-shoulders topping pattern that proposes a downside target of 5670. Superseding any patterns that can be picked out is just the mere appearance that resistance, such as around the 20-day moving average, is starting to have a greater influence than support. Reason to conclude the shift of trend has been provided. We continue to scrutinize the potential impact of this evolving shift on our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid and we are expecting that our list of candidates in the market to Avoid will expand following this first full week of the year now that start of the year fund inflows have been allocated.


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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite

