Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

AA Relative to the S&P 500

AA Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Alcoa Corp. (NYSE:AA) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of August 15 and a Sell Date of December 29 has resulted in a geometric average return of 13.91% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 20.29% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Materials sector, which runs from November 20 to May 5. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Materials Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of AA, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Alcoa Corp. engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting and casting. It operates through the Alumina and Aluminum segments. The Alumina segment consists of a refining system, including the mining of bauxite, which is then refined into alumina, a compound of aluminum and oxygen that is the raw material used by smelters to produce aluminum metal. The Aluminum segment is composed of smelting and casthouse system. The company was founded by Charles Martin Hall on July 9, 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, PA.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: AA