Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BTU Relative to the S&P 500

BTU Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of November 2 and a Sell Date of January 28 has resulted in a geometric average return of 13.71% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 7 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 7 years by an average of 31.71% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Energy sector, which runs from January 21 to May 9. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Energy Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 7 years of data is available for shares of BTU, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Peabody Energy Corp is a producer of metallurgical and thermal coal. It also markets and brokers coal, both as principal and agent, and trades coal and freight-related contracts. The company operates in the following segment: Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, Other U.S. Thermal and Corporate and Other. Powder River Basin segment generates the majority of the revenue for the company. A substantial part of its overall revenue is generated from its customers in the United States, and rest from Japan, China, Australia, Taiwan and other regions.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BTU, coal