Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BTU Relative to the S&P 500

BTU Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of May 2 and a Sell Date of September 27 has resulted in a geometric average return of 15.79% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 29.57% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Energy sector, which runs from January 21 to May 9. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Energy Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of BTU, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Peabody Energy Corp. engages in the business of coal mining. It operates through the following business segments: Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, Other U.S. Thermal, and Corporate and Other. The Seaborne Thermal segment consist of mines in New South Wales, Australia. The Seaborne Metallurgical segment includes mines in Queensland, Australia, one in New South Wales, Australia and one in Alabama, USA. The Powder River Basin segment focuses on mines in Wyoming. The Other U.S. Thermal segment reflects on the mining, preparation and sale of thermal coal, sold primarily to electric utilities in the U.S. under long-term contracts, with a relatively small portion sold as international exports as conditions warrant. The Corporate and Other segment involves administrative expenses, results from equity method investments, trading and brokerage activities, minimum charges on certain transportation-related contracts, the closure of inactive mining sites, the impact of foreign currency remeasurement and certain commercial matters. The company was founded by Francis S. Peabody in 1883 and is headquartered in St. Louis, MO.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BTU, coal