Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BTU Relative to the S&P 500

BTU Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of November 10 and a Sell Date of February 5 has resulted in a geometric average return of 40.78% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 4 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 3 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 4 years by an average of 78.62% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Energy sector, which runs from January 21 to May 9. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Energy Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 4 years of data is available for shares of BTU, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Peabody Energy mines and sells coal through approximately 21 coal mines in the United States and Australia. Peabody also markets and brokers coal, both as principal and agent, and trades coal and freight-related contracts through offices in China, Australia, the United Kingdom, and the U.S. The company operates in the following segment: Seaborne Thermal Mining, Seaborne Metallurgical Mining, Powder River Basin Mining, Midwestern U.S. Mining, Western U.S. Mining and Corporate and Other.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BTU, coal