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Equity Clock

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for August 22, 2023

Breadth indicators not yet showing characteristics of a sustainable rising path for stocks.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Civitas Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CIVI) Seasonal Chart

Civitas Resources, Inc. (NYSE:CIVI) Seasonal Chart

VanEck Vectors Oil Refiners ETF (AMEX:CRAK) Seasonal Chart

VanEck Vectors Oil Refiners ETF (AMEX:CRAK) Seasonal Chart

iShares Core S&P U.S. Total Market Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (TSE:XUH.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares Core S&P U.S. Total Market Index ETF (CAD-Hedged) (TSE:XUH.TO) Seasonal Chart

Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) Seasonal Chart

Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX) Seasonal Chart

US Global Jets ETF (AMEX:JETS) Seasonal Chart

US Global Jets ETF (AMEX:JETS) Seasonal Chart

Methanex Corp. (NASD:MEOH) Seasonal Chart

Methanex Corp. (NASD:MEOH) Seasonal Chart

Allegiant Travel Co. (NASD:ALGT) Seasonal Chart

Allegiant Travel Co. (NASD:ALGT) Seasonal Chart

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Seasonal Chart

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Seasonal Chart

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NASD:GT) Seasonal Chart

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (NASD:GT) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks rebounded on Monday as they start to show the type of positivity that is normal surrounding the upcoming Labor Day holiday.  The S&P 500 Index gained just less than seven-tenths of one percent, starting to reach back towards the levels of implied resistance at the 20 and 50-day moving averages at 4490 and 4455, respectively.  Momentum indicators are starting to show signs of curling higher from their recent slide with Stochastics attempting to emerge from oversold territory below 20.  It would be very difficult for the bears to maintain the negative short-term trajectory of stocks into the last holiday of the summer season given the desire of portfolio managers to maintain a neutral bias while they are away from their desks.  Still, the broader period of volatility/weakness continues through the end of the third quarter, suggesting that the near-term reprieve is likely to just represent a pause in this correction that could see its lows anywhere down to 4200 while still maintaining a rising intermediate path.  Major moving averages at the 100 and 200-day remain below this market, presenting positions to catch it if and when it falls.  It would take a definitive break of this cloud of support to define an alternate intermediate-term trajectory.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
BHP Group Limited Seasonal ChartLowe's Companies, Inc. Seasonal ChartMedtronic plc Seasonal ChartBaidu, Inc. Seasonal Chart
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc Seasonal ChartCoty Inc. Seasonal ChartToll Brothers, Inc. Seasonal ChartMacy's Inc Seasonal ChartUrban Outfitters, Inc. Seasonal ChartPremier, Inc. Seasonal ChartGDS Holdings Limited Seasonal ChartCanadian Solar Inc. Seasonal ChartLa-Z-Boy Incorporated Seasonal ChartScanSource, Inc. Seasonal ChartCiti Trends, Inc. Seasonal ChartElectromed, Inc. Seasonal ChartB.O.S. Better Online Solutions Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite